UNFI: Bullish Divergence Ahead?

Analysis of UNFI's trading activity reveals a potential short-term bullish divergence. Indicators like RSI and Stochastic Oscillator indicate oversold conditions, hinting at a possible price reversal. Key resistance levels and the Moving Average serve as crucial points for traders to watch.

10/31/20232 min read

UNFI's trading activity chart with technical indicators like RSI, Stochastic Oscillator, Bollinger B
UNFI's trading activity chart with technical indicators like RSI, Stochastic Oscillator, Bollinger B

UNFI's trading activity suggests a bearish sentiment in the short term, yet there are signals hinting at a potential reversal. Currently, the asset's price is hovering near the lower Bollinger Band at 8.895, which typically implies oversold conditions. This is further substantiated by an RSI value of 30.91, just shy of the traditional 30 threshold denoting oversold status. The Stochastic Oscillator, with values of 9.54 for %K and 15.77 for %D, further underscores this potential for upward momentum.

The asset's position below the Moving Average of 9.246 reinforces the current bearish momentum. However, the MACD's placement in the negative territory and its proximity to the Signal line might hint at a possible trend change if they cross.

Volume is a pivotal factor in determining the strength of a trend. With recent volume at 6.025K, observing spikes or dips in the coming periods can provide insights into trend validation. The On-Balance Volume (OBV) standing at 34.001M is another tool to gauge bullish or bearish momentum with respect to volume.

Considering the Fibonacci retracement levels derived from previous peaks and troughs, 9.685 (0.236) and 9.979 (0.382) stand out as key resistance levels. Conversely, the immediate support is seen around the 8.895 mark, aligning with the lower Bollinger Band.

From the perspective of money flow and trend strength, the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) value of -0.12 suggests that selling pressure currently dominates, while the Average Directional Index (ADX) at 23.04 signals a moderate trend strength. It's worth noting that if the ADX surpasses 25, it may indicate a strengthening trend.

Most Probable Scenario:

Considering the present convergence of indicators, a potential bullish divergence seems to be emerging in the short term. While the asset trades near the lower Bollinger Band and has an RSI value nearing the traditional oversold territory, these are indicative of possible buying pressure in the upcoming sessions. However, it's crucial to note that several resistance levels lie ahead, and the asset's momentum needs to break past these to confirm a sustained bullish trend.

Key Prices:

Immediate Resistance: 9.246 (Moving Average)
Next Resistance Levels: 9.685 (0.236 Fibonacci) & 9.979 (0.382 Fibonacci)
Immediate Support: 8.895 (Lower Bollinger Band)
It's worth noting that these levels can serve as either price targets or reversal points, depending on market dynamics.


While the current atmosphere for UNFI leans bearish, several technical indicators hint at an impending short-term reversal. The combination of oversold RSI values, positioning near the lower Bollinger Band, and potential MACD bullish crossover provides a glimpse of potential upside momentum. However, traders should remain vigilant, observing volume shifts and price action around the key prices mentioned. Always ensure proper risk mitigation tactics while engaging with the markets.